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By

Craig

Dostie

In the last few years, backcountry skiing

has basked in the limelight of ski in-

dustry attention. Unlike the worldwide

ski industry that has been reporting no

growth for the past decade, based on

participation surveys and products

sold, sales of equipment used for

earning your turns has continued to grow.

If backcountry skiers are a subset of the

overall skier and snowboarder populations,

and there is essentially no growth, how much

longer can interest in backcountry skiing

and associated equipment sales grow? Put

another way, what percentage of the overall

skier and rider population will be willing to

pay for their fun with sweat?

Back when the idea of creating a magazine

devoted to backcountry skiing first entered

my mind, the foundation of my business

plan was a simple but unproven belief that

at least 10 percent of all skiers would be

willing to hike for their turns. At the time,

the mid-1980s, there were 14 million skiers in

the United States, according to the

Wall Street

Journal

. In my mind that meant the poten-

tial market size was more than one million

strong, and in the near term I guessed there

were around 100,000 active or easily convert-

ed backcountry skiers. That was all the justifi-

cation I needed to pursue their attention.

Thirty years later the number of backcoun-

try skiers has swollen to nearly double my

original estimate of potential participants,

depending on how you interpret the data. Ac-

cording to SIA’s “Downhill Consumer Intel-

ligence Report,” in the preliminary Discovery

Phase they make clear the size of the U.S.

ski market, which includes snowboarders, is

“remarkably static” during the past 35 years.

In the last 16 years, the average number of

annual sliders was 12 million. Two years ago

SIA had numbers indicating there were 2.7

million telemarkers, and while I know that

isn’t true, if one equates telemark with back-

country, then the number is probably as true

as the average 12 million downhillers. In that

case, backcountry skiers comprise close to 20

percent of slope dopes in America.

Whether or not that is the actual number

isn’t really the issue being raised here. Rather,

when the worldwide ski market is more or

less flat, how much longer can we expect to

see growth in a segment that is but a subset

of the larger whole, which hasn’t significantly

How long can interest in backcountry skiing

keep growing?

I

Inside

Outdoor

|

Winter

2015

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